Prediction: Miriam Bulgaru vs Valeriya Strakhova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Valeriya Strakhova; the market gives 73% to Miriam Bulgaru (odds 1.28).
Over their last 10 matches, Miriam Bulgaru sits at 2-8 (W-L), while Valeriya Strakhova arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Miriam Bulgaru | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valeriya Strakhova (rating 1399 vs 1499).
- Valeriya Strakhova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Miriam Bulgaru 0–1 Valeriya Strakhova (1).
- Note: Miriam Bulgaru makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Miriam Bulgaru | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-12.5 | 10.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 48.7% |
H2H · Miriam Bulgaru 0 – 1 Valeriya Strakhova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miriam Bulgaru 0–1 Valeriya Strakhova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/24 WTA Florianopolis | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Danka Kovinic WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Harmony Tan W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Julie Belgraver W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Anastasia Gasanova W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Valeriya Strakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Olivia Gram W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nadja Mladenovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriam Bulgaru vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 56% to Miriam Bulgaru, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.