Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawa
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Katarzyna Kawa; the market gives 46% to Katarzyna Kawa (odds 2.00).
On recent form, Simona Waltert is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Katarzyna Kawa 6-4 over theirs.
| Simona Waltert | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarzyna Kawa (rating 1490 vs 1552).
- Katarzyna Kawa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Simona Waltert 1–2 Katarzyna Kawa (3).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.1 | 11-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 42.1% |
H2H · Simona Waltert 1 – 2 Katarzyna Kawa (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Waltert 1–2 Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 WTA Oeiras | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/02/20 ITF W25 Nonthaburi | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/10/19 ITF W60 Szekesfehervar | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Katerina Siniakova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Yue Yuan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Katarzyna Kawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Susan Bandecchi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Dominika Salkova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Lisa Pigato WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Maya Joint WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Claire Liu French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawa?
Our model gives 52% to Katarzyna Kawa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.