Tennis · WTA Bastad · 06/07, 15:30
Prediction: Tiana Tian Deng vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kaitlin Quevedo; the market gives 91% to Kaitlin Quevedo (odds 1.03).
Recent form leaves Tiana Tian Deng with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Kaitlin Quevedo has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiana Tian Deng 1531 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1551
| Tiana Tian Deng | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kaitlin Quevedo dominates on serve: 11.5 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Note: Tiana Tian Deng makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Tiana Tian Deng | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.2 | 12-11 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 11.5 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiana Tian Deng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Rina Saigo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Junlu Sun W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Yingqun Sun W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Chuyi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Duanrui Gao W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Anna Yang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Sayaka Ishii Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Leolia Jeanjean French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Teodora Kostovic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Nuria Brancaccio French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiana Tian Deng vs Kaitlin Quevedo?
Our model gives 74% to Kaitlin Quevedo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.