Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijima
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Oleksandra Oliynykova; the market gives 56% to Oleksandra Oliynykova (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Oleksandra Oliynykova is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Moyuka Uchijima 4-6 over theirs.
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandra Oliynykova (rating 1547 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Oleksandra Oliynykova 1–0 Moyuka Uchijima (1).
Statistics
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.6 | 11.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 43.4% |
H2H · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1 – 0 Moyuka Uchijima (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1–0 Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 WTA Antalya 2 | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | McCartney Kessler Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Kimberly Birrell French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Alexandra Eala WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/05 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Ksenia Efremova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/05 | Linda Noskova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Petra Marcinko WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaja Juvan WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Jessika Ponchet WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/05 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Ksenia Efremova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/04 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Our model gives 57% to Oleksandra Oliynykova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.