Tennis · WTA Bastad · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liu
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Claire Liu; the market gives 58% to Claire Liu (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Sinja Kraus is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Claire Liu 7-3 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sinja Kraus 1489 · Claire Liu 1564
| Sinja Kraus | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Claire Liu (rating 1489 vs 1564).
Statistics
| Sinja Kraus | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.4 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 54% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Lin Zhu WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Noma Noha Akugue French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Despina Papamichail Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Katarzyna Kawa French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 59% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.