Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Alafia Ayeni; the market gives 73% to Facundo Mena (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Facundo Mena with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Alafia Ayeni has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Facundo Mena | Alafia Ayeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Facundo Mena dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 41.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Facundo Mena 1–0 Alafia Ayeni (1).
- Note: Alafia Ayeni makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Alafia Ayeni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11 | 11.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 35.5% |
H2H · Facundo Mena 1 – 0 Alafia Ayeni (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Mena 1–0 Alafia Ayeni
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/24 Challenger San Luis Potosi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/04 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/04 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/03 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/03 | Marc Polmans Challenger Morelia · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 23/03 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger Morelia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alafia Ayeni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ethan Cook Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/05 | Reda Bennani Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Alafia Ayeni?
Our model gives 60% to Facundo Mena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.