Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 07/07, 17:00

Prediction: Juan Sebastian Gomez vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Eduardo Ribeiro; the market gives 77% to Eduardo Ribeiro (odds 1.22).

Recent form leaves Juan Sebastian Gomez with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Eduardo Ribeiro has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

65%2
35% 65%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Gomez 1487 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1493
Juan Sebastian GomezEduardo Ribeiro
Our model49%51%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Juan Sebastian Gomez 0–1 Eduardo Ribeiro (1).
  • Note: Juan Sebastian Gomez makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Juan Sebastian GomezEduardo Ribeiro
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.1-1
Games (G-P)11.4-1111.1-10
Aces2.31.9
Double faults41.4
1st serve %62.8%66.4%
Break %45.6%50.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

H2H · Juan Sebastian Gomez 01 Eduardo Ribeiro (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Sebastian Gomez 01 Eduardo Ribeiro

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/03/22
ITF M25 Medellin
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Sebastian Gomez

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
09/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/05 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
01/05 Andres Urrea
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
30/04 Lucca Pinto
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/04 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/04 Herman Hoeyeraal
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L
22/04 Mario Andre Galarraga
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Eduardo Ribeiro

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
23/06 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
17/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 14-12 L
09/06 Santiago De La Fuente
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
14/05 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
13/05 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/05 Fernando Cavallo
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Sebastian Gomez vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Our model gives 65% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.