Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 07/07, 17:00
Prediction: Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi; the market gives 87% to Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (odds 1.08).
Recent form leaves Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez 1534 · Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 1561
| Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.8 | 12.2-11 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Maximilliano Tapia Touma M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/04 | Fernando Cavallo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Victor Braga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/04 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/03 | Peter Bertran Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 23/11 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Peter Bertran ITF M15 Valledupar |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 04/11 | Juan Sebastian Osorio ITF M15 Valledupar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi?
Our model gives 72% to Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.