Tennis · Challenger Cary · 06/07, 01:30
Prediction: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Braden Shick; the market gives 54% to Braden Shick (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Timo Legout with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Braden Shick has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1579 · Braden Shick 1592
| Timo Legout | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timo Legout | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.7 | 12.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Matthew Shearer M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | William Manning M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/06 | Dan Martin Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Braden Shick?
Our model gives 53% to Braden Shick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.