Tennis · Challenger Cary · 03/07, 16:00
Prediction: Timo Legout vs Ozan Baris
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Ozan Baris; the market gives 59% to Ozan Baris (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Timo Legout with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ozan Baris has piled up 9-1 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1536 · Ozan Baris 1624
| Timo Legout | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1536 vs 1624).
- Ozan Baris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Timo Legout | Ozan Baris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.9 | 13.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 74% |
| Break % | 40% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Matthew Shearer M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Boulais M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Ozan Baris?
Our model gives 60% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.