Tennis · Challenger Cary · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Timo Legout
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Rei Sakamoto; the market gives 73% to Rei Sakamoto (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Rei Sakamoto is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Timo Legout 5-5 over theirs.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1526 · Timo Legout 1528
| Rei Sakamoto | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Timo Legout makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13 | 9.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 11.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Anton Matusevich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Pedro Martinez French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Alex Molcan Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/05 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Matthew Shearer M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 63% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.