Tennis · Challenger Cary · 05/07, 01:00
Prediction: Timo Legout vs Edward Winter
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Timo Legout; the market gives 54% to Timo Legout (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Timo Legout sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Edward Winter arrives on a 4-6 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timo Legout 1562 · Edward Winter 1552
| Timo Legout | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timo Legout | Edward Winter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.2 | 13.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 27.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Matthew Shearer M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Edward Winter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | William Manning Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Ian Mayew Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timo Legout vs Edward Winter?
Our model gives 53% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.