Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 05/07, 18:30
Prediction: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Lucas Andrade da Silva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Lucas Andrade da Silva; the market gives 71% to Lucas Andrade da Silva (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Segundo Goity Zapico with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Lucas Andrade da Silva has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Segundo Goity Zapico 1509 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1552
| Segundo Goity Zapico | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1509 vs 1552).
- Note: Segundo Goity Zapico makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Segundo Goity Zapico | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 11-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Segundo Goity Zapico
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Martin Maldonado Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Tsz Fu Wong Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Federico Coria Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/05 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/05 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Jorge Ruiz Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Romain Gales ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Kacper Szymkowiak ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida ITF M25 Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Segundo Goity Zapico vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?
Our model gives 64% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.