Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 05/07, 17:00
Prediction: Salvador Price vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro; the market gives 50% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (odds 1.83).
Over their last 10 matches, Salvador Price sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Joao Victor Couto Loureiro arrives on a 5-5 run.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvador Price 1445 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1481
| Salvador Price | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Salvador Price | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.1 | 10.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvador Price
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Martin Maldonado Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tsz Fu Wong M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Gama M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 16/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Juan Bautista Otegui Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvador Price vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?
Our model gives 52% to Joao Victor Couto Loureiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.