Prediction: Nicolas Villalon vs Brandon Perez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Nicolas Villalon; the market gives 79% to Nicolas Villalon (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Nicolas Villalon is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Brandon Perez 2-8 over theirs.
| Nicolas Villalon | Brandon Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolas Villalon (rating 1460 vs 1413).
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Villalon 1–0 Brandon Perez (1).
- Note: Nicolas Villalon makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Villalon | Brandon Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13 | 7.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 26.9% |
H2H · Nicolas Villalon 1 – 0 Brandon Perez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Villalon 1–0 Brandon Perez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/25 Challenger Merida | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Villalon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Gonzalo Zeitune Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Mateus Alves M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Victor Braga Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Angel Veliz M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Brandon Perez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Kaeri Hernandez Mariona Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/04 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Noah Schachter Challenger Metepec · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Itajai · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/11 | Noah Zamora Challenger Champaign · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Villalon vs Brandon Perez?
Our model gives 69% to Nicolas Villalon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.