Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 05/07, 17:00
Prediction: Fermin Tenti vs Peter Bertran
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Peter Bertran; the market gives 56% to Peter Bertran (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Fermin Tenti sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Peter Bertran arrives on a 4-6 run.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fermin Tenti 1469 · Peter Bertran 1477
| Fermin Tenti | Peter Bertran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Peter Bertran makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Fermin Tenti | Peter Bertran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 10-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fermin Tenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Nick Hardt Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Rai Vicente de Araujo Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/04 | Felipe De Dios UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/04 | Nocolas A Jara Lozano UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/03 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Tomas Martinez M15 La Plata |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 17/02 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
Peter Bertran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Matias Soto Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/03 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/03 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Cap Cana · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Nick Hardt M15 San Jose |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 San Jose |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/02 | Jerry Roddick M25 San Jose |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/02 | Billy Suarez M25 San Jose |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/11 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fermin Tenti vs Peter Bertran?
Our model gives 54% to Peter Bertran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.