Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 16:30
Prediction: Alex Rybakov vs Tung-Lin Wu
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Tung-Lin Wu; the market gives 72% to Tung-Lin Wu (odds 1.30).
Recent form leaves Alex Rybakov with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Tung-Lin Wu has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Rybakov 1515 · Tung-Lin Wu 1523
| Alex Rybakov | Tung-Lin Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Rybakov 0–1 Tung-Lin Wu (1).
Statistics
| Alex Rybakov | Tung-Lin Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.4 | 12.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69% |
| Break % | 53% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Alex Rybakov 0 – 1 Tung-Lin Wu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Rybakov 0–1 Tung-Lin Wu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/23 Challenger Tallahassee | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Rybakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Liam Krall M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Ryan Colby M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Justin Roberts M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Evan Bynoe M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 14/04 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/04 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Tung-Lin Wu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Boulais Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 03/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/05 | James McCabe Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Adam Walton Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 29/04 | Rigele Te Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Jake Delaney Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/04 | Jiangnan Wei Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/04 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Tom Paris Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Rybakov vs Tung-Lin Wu?
Our model gives 63% to Tung-Lin Wu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.