Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Aidan Mayo; the market gives 50% to Stefan Kozlov (odds 1.83).
Recent form leaves Stefan Kozlov with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Aidan Mayo has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 1–0 Aidan Mayo (1).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.4 | 13-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 71% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 24.8% |
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 1 – 0 Aidan Mayo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 1–0 Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/25 M25 Xalapa | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Nick Hardt Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/04 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | James Duckworth Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Raphael Perot Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/04 | Alan Magadan Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/05 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/04 | Andy Andrade Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/04 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/04 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 50% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.