Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 21:00
Prediction: Philip Sekulic vs Patrick Maloney
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Philip Sekulic; the market gives 66% to Philip Sekulic (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Philip Sekulic sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Patrick Maloney arrives on a 4-6 run.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Sekulic 1508 · Patrick Maloney 1442
| Philip Sekulic | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Sekulic (rating 1508 vs 1442).
- Note: Philip Sekulic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Patrick Maloney makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Philip Sekulic | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.3 | 9.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Sekulic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 16/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Kriish Tyagi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/05 | Maximus Jones Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 03/05 | Yuki Mochizuki Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Justin Boulais Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Patrick Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Chicago · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Sekulic vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 63% to Philip Sekulic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.