Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 19:30
Prediction: Andres Martin vs Jason Jung
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Andres Martin; the market gives 58% to Andres Martin (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Andres Martin is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Jason Jung 3-7 over theirs.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1517 · Jason Jung 1426
| Andres Martin | Jason Jung | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1517 vs 1426).
- Andres Martin is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andres Martin | Jason Jung | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.3 | 10.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 43% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Blake Ellis Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/05 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | James Watt Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Jason Jung
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Giles Hussey Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/04 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Yoshihito Nishioka Challenger Kobe · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Yoshihito Nishioka Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Arthur Weber Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/10 | James McCabe Challenger Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Shenzhen · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Chicago · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Jason Jung?
Our model gives 60% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.