Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 18:00
Prediction: Adhithya Ganesan vs Tyler Zink
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Adhithya Ganesan; the market gives 71% to Tyler Zink (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Adhithya Ganesan with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Tyler Zink has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adhithya Ganesan 1530 · Tyler Zink 1504
| Adhithya Ganesan | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adhithya Ganesan makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Adhithya Ganesan | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.5 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 31% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adhithya Ganesan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Rigele Te M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Vladimir Osminkin M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Amir Milushev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 24/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Ryan Colby M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Christian Langmo M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Blake Ellis Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/04 | Ronit Karki Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adhithya Ganesan vs Tyler Zink?
Our model gives 60% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.