Tennis · Challenger Newport · 05/07, 19:30
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Daniel Milavsky
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Masamichi Imamura; the market gives 46% to Masamichi Imamura (odds 2.00).
Over their last 10 matches, Masamichi Imamura sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Daniel Milavsky arrives on a 5-5 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1534 · Daniel Milavsky 1510
| Masamichi Imamura | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.3 | 10.8-10 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 73% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Christian Langmo Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/06 | William Manning Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Ryan Colby M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Oren Vasser M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/05 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Daniel Milavsky?
Our model gives 50% to Masamichi Imamura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.