Prediction: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Grigor Dimitrov; the market gives 66% to Grigor Dimitrov (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Grigor Dimitrov with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Arthur Fery has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grigor Dimitrov 1574 · Arthur Fery 1561
| Grigor Dimitrov | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Grigor Dimitrov | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.1-12.4 | 16-13.7 |
| Aces | 14.1 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -13.3
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grigor Dimitrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 02/07 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-20 | W |
| 30/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Conor Gannon Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Arthur Fery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-29 | W |
| 02/07 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 30/06 | Damir Dzumhur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery?
Our model gives 59% to Grigor Dimitrov, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.