Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Alexander Zverev; the market gives 72% to Alexander Zverev (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Jiri Lehecka with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Alexander Zverev has piled up 10-0 in the same span.
| Jiri Lehecka | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1559 vs 1600).
- Alexander Zverev is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 2.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.9-14.4 | 19.2-14.1 |
| Aces | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 80.6% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 39.3% |
H2H · Jiri Lehecka 1 – 1 Alexander Zverev (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 1–1 Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/23 ATP Dubai | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/12/22 United Cup | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 12/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | James Duckworth ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Pablo Carreno Busta French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 10/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-19 | W |
| 05/06 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev?
Our model gives 65% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.