Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alexandra Eala; the market gives 60% to Alexandra Eala (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Jasmine Paolini is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alexandra Eala 6-4 over theirs.
| Jasmine Paolini | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jasmine Paolini 0–1 Alexandra Eala (1).
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.8 | 10.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 42.6% |
H2H · Jasmine Paolini 0 – 1 Alexandra Eala (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jasmine Paolini 0–1 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 WTA Dubai | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Dayana Yastremska French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/05 | Elise Mertens WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/04 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Laura Siegemund WTA Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 58% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.