Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 05/07, 04:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Sanhui Shin
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Sanhui Shin; the market gives 56% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Matthew Dellavedova with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Sanhui Shin has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1589 · Sanhui Shin 1610
| Matthew Dellavedova | Sanhui Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Sanhui Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-6.8 | 13.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 59.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Sanhui Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Naoki Tajima M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/05 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Sanhui Shin?
Our model gives 52% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.