Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 05/07, 12:00

Prediction: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikova

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Karolina Muchova; the market gives 59% to Karolina Muchova (odds 1.61).

On recent form, Karolina Muchova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Barbora Krejcikova 7-3 over theirs.

56%1
56% 44%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karolina Muchova 1594 · Barbora Krejcikova 1581
Karolina MuchovaBarbora Krejcikova
Our model52%48%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Karolina Muchova 1–0 Barbora Krejcikova (1).

Statistics

Karolina MuchovaBarbora Krejcikova
Win %80%70%
Win % · Grass 88% (8) 88% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.3-7.412.1-9.2
Aces4.65.2
Double faults1.83.6
1st serve %75.1%72.2%
Break %62.6%37.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 57% · 1.83

H2H · Karolina Muchova 10 Barbora Krejcikova (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Karolina Muchova 10 Barbora Krejcikova

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DateSetsGamesRes.
26/07/18
ITF Women Prague
2-012-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karolina Muchova

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
25/06 Clara Tauson
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-1 13-12 W
24/06 Irina-Camelia Begu
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Madison Keys
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Shuai Zhang
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
29/05 Jil Teichmann
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
27/05 Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Barbora Krejcikova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
29/06 Hannah Klugman
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Magda Linette
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Hanne Vandewinkel
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Renata Zarazua
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
24/05 Hailey Baptiste
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 15-19 L
16/05 Dayana Yastremska
WTA Parma · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikova?

Our model gives 56% to Karolina Muchova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.