Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 05/07, 17:15

Result and prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Final result
Aryna Sabalenka 2-6, 6-7 Naomi Osaka
What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Aryna Sabalenka 58%
58% 42%
Aryna SabalenkaNaomi Osaka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Aryna SabalenkaNaomi Osaka
Our model49%51%
Market66%34%
Estimated total (games) 23 · actual 21

This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.

See today's predictions