Tennis · M15 Getxo · 04/07, 12:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Alejandro Garcia

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez; the market gives 56% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez (odds 1.67).

Recent form leaves Oscar Jose Gutierrez with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Alejandro Garcia has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

53%1
53% 47%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1558 · Alejandro Garcia 1555
Oscar Jose GutierrezAlejandro Garcia
Our model50%50%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezAlejandro Garcia
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.9-8.711.3-9.5
Aces2.41.6
Double faults3.42.9
1st serve %70.2%65.8%
Break %46.3%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 11 Alejandro Garcia (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 11 Alejandro Garcia

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/08/24
ITF M25 Santander
2-013-9W
02/09/21
ITF M25 Oviedo
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
02/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Daniel Verbeek
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
16/06 Luis Garcia Paez
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Patrik Meszaros
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/06 Leyton Rivera
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-1 16-8 W
10/06 Gabor Hornung
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/05 Maximilian Figl
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Alejandro Garcia

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Pedro Rodenas
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
02/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Iker Gaztambide Arrastia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W
29/06 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alex Blanchar
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
21/06 Guillem Busquets Brau
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/06 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/02 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M15 Villena · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/02 Noah Martens
M15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Alejandro Garcia?

Our model gives 53% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.