Tennis · M15 Getxo · 03/07, 13:30

Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Alejandro Garcia

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Alejandro Garcia; the market gives 69% to Pedro Rodenas (odds 1.36).

On recent form, Pedro Rodenas is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alejandro Garcia 5-5 over theirs.

60%1
60% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1531 · Alejandro Garcia 1535
Pedro RodenasAlejandro Garcia
Our model49%51%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Pedro Rodenas 0–1 Alejandro Garcia (1).

Statistics

Pedro RodenasAlejandro Garcia
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1
Games (G-P)11.8-10.310.7-9.6
Aces2.11.6
Double faults3.12.9
1st serve %64.2%66.1%
Break %43.5%40.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Pedro Rodenas 01 Alejandro Garcia (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Rodenas 01 Alejandro Garcia

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DateSetsGamesRes.
03/08/21
ITF M15 Xativa
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Rodenas

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
01/07 Julien Dando
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ludovico Vaccari
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
16/06 Ibrahim Snoussi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
10/06 Paul Barbier Gazeu
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
22/04 Joao Goncalves
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
29/11 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
28/11 Michiel de Krom
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
27/11 Pavel Lagutin
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Alejandro Garcia

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Iker Gaztambide Arrastia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W
29/06 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alex Blanchar
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
21/06 Guillem Busquets Brau
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/06 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/02 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M15 Villena · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/02 Noah Martens
M15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
05/02 Sergi Perez Contri
M15 Javea
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Alejandro Garcia?

Our model gives 60% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.