Tennis · M15 Getxo · 03/07, 13:00
Prediction: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez; the market gives 73% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Luka Talan Lopatic is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Oscar Jose Gutierrez 5-5 over theirs.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Talan Lopatic 1507 · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1531
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luka Talan Lopatic | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 10.4-9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Talan Lopatic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Iannis Miletich M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Markel Garay Eceolaza M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Josip Simundza M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Yannic Nittmann UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Maximilian Figl M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Ivan Ivanov M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Talan Lopatic vs Oscar Jose Gutierrez?
Our model gives 64% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.