Tennis · M15 Getxo · 03/07, 13:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ignacio Parisca Romera; the market gives 66% to Ignacio Parisca Romera (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Sergi Fita Juan with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Ignacio Parisca Romera has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1534 · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1544
| Sergi Fita Juan | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.2 | 10-7.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 73% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Johan Nikles M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Carles Cordoba M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 11/05 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ignacio Parisca Romera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Victor Braga Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Yannik Alvarez Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Darian King Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Ignacio Parisca Romera?
Our model gives 60% to Ignacio Parisca Romera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.