Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Roman Safiullin; the market gives 83% to Novak Djokovic (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Roman Safiullin sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Novak Djokovic arrives on a 8-2 run.
| Roman Safiullin | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Roman Safiullin dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Novak Djokovic dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Roman Safiullin 0–3 Novak Djokovic (3).
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Novak Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.2-1.1 | 2.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.6-15.9 | 19.2-16.3 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 44.3% |
H2H · Roman Safiullin 0 – 3 Novak Djokovic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Safiullin 0–3 Novak Djokovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/24 ATP Shanghai | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04/24 ATP Monte Carlo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10/22 ATP Tel Aviv | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 25/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-28 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | James McCabe Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 16/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Novak Djokovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 01/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Yibing Wu Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 29/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 27/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 08/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/03 | Jack Draper ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 09/03 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/03 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic?
Our model gives 66% to Novak Djokovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.