Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 04/07, 13:30
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Tiago Torres
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Patrick Schoen; the market gives 50% to Patrick Schoen (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Patrick Schoen is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tiago Torres 8-2 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1586 · Tiago Torres 1577
| Patrick Schoen | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.7 | 12.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Rigele Te M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca Liu M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | John Echeverria M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Tiago Torres?
Our model gives 51% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.