Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Joao Dinis Silva
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Tiago Cacao; the market gives 73% to Tiago Cacao (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Tiago Cacao is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Joao Dinis Silva 4-6 over theirs.
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1507 · Joao Dinis Silva 1505
| Tiago Cacao | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.3 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Joao Domingues M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
| 04/04 | Julio Cesar Porras UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Hugo Maia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/04 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 31/03 | Vitek Horak UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/03 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/03 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Joao Dinis Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Porto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | John Echeverria M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Tiago Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Loan Lestir M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Tiago Pereira M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Joao Dinis Silva?
Our model gives 63% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.