Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Maximus Jones
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 65% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Matthew Dellavedova is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Maximus Jones 5-5 over theirs.
| Matthew Dellavedova | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1585 vs 1502).
- Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Maximus Jones (1).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.7 | 12.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 73% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 46.6% |
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 0 Maximus Jones (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Maximus Jones
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/22 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maximus Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Amit Vales Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/05 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/05 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Maximus Jones?
Our model gives 63% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.