Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Pietro Orlando Fellin
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Pietro Orlando Fellin; the market gives 54% to Pietro Orlando Fellin (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Matyas Cerny is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Pietro Orlando Fellin 8-2 over theirs.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1508 · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1600
| Matyas Cerny | Pietro Orlando Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1508 vs 1600).
- Pietro Orlando Fellin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Pietro Orlando Fellin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.1 | 13.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 43% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Max Frohlich M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Roman Postolka M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Franco Ribero Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 27/04 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Radovan Michalik M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abel Forger M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Attila Dominik Boros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 01/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Pietro Orlando Fellin?
Our model gives 58% to Pietro Orlando Fellin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.