Tennis · M15 Umag · 02/07, 16:30
Prediction: Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Lorenzo Angelini
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lorenzo Angelini; the market gives 72% to Lorenzo Angelini (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Edoardo Cherie Ligniere sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Lorenzo Angelini arrives on a 5-5 run.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 1523 · Lorenzo Angelini 1551
| Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.5 | 10.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Glib Sekachov M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Kai Thompson M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Edoardo De Filippo M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/06 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 21/05 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Max Stollecker M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Louis Dussin Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Piotr Galus M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | David Bakonyi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 64% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.