Prediction: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Linda Noskova; the market gives 66% to Linda Noskova (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Sorana Cirstea is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Linda Noskova 7-3 over theirs.
| Sorana Cirstea | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea 3–2 Linda Noskova (5).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Sorana Cirstea | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.9 | 11.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 45.3% |
H2H · Sorana Cirstea 3 – 2 Linda Noskova (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorana Cirstea 3–2 Linda Noskova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 WTA Rome | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/03/26 WTA Miami | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/03/26 WTA Indian Wells | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 17/02/26 WTA Dubai | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/01/24 WTA Brisbane | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorana Cirstea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Sara Bejlek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Emma Raducanu WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Eva Lys French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/05 | Ksenia Efremova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Coco Gauff WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Linda Noskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Ella Seidel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Jessica Pegula WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Maria Sakkari French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/05 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 59% to Linda Noskova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.