Prediction: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Matteo Berrettini; the market gives 59% to Matteo Berrettini (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Grigor Dimitrov is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Matteo Berrettini 6-4 over theirs.
| Grigor Dimitrov | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Grigor Dimitrov | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 2.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.5 | 18.3-16.2 |
| Aces | 13.3 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 33.2% |
H2H · Grigor Dimitrov 1 – 1 Matteo Berrettini (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grigor Dimitrov 1–1 Matteo Berrettini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/19 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/04/19 ATP Monte Carlo | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grigor Dimitrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jakub Mensik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-20 | W |
| 30/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Conor Gannon Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Martin Damm Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Matteo Berrettini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Arthur Fils Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 30/06 | Stan Wawrinka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 01/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 31-30 | W |
| 28/05 | Arthur Rinderknech French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Marton Fucsovics French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-15 | W |
| 14/05 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Taro Daniel Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini?
Our model gives 56% to Matteo Berrettini, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.