Prediction: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobolli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Flavio Cobolli; the market gives 47% to Flavio Cobolli (odds 2.00).
On recent form, Karen Khachanov is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Flavio Cobolli 5-5 over theirs.
| Karen Khachanov | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Karen Khachanov 1–0 Flavio Cobolli (1).
Statistics
| Karen Khachanov | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.3 | 2.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 18-15.7 | 18-16.2 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 38.1% |
H2H · Karen Khachanov 1 – 0 Flavio Cobolli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karen Khachanov 1–0 Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/24 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karen Khachanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-30 | L |
| 27/05 | Marco Trungelliti French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 24/05 | Arthur Gea French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Mariano Navone Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 15/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-28 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/06 | Zachary Svajda French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 30/05 | Learner Tien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Yibing Wu French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Ignacio Buse ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 51% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.