Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverev
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Alexander Zverev; the market gives 90% to Alexander Zverev (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Marcos Giron sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Alexander Zverev arrives on a 10-0 run.
| Marcos Giron | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1509 vs 1598).
- Marcos Giron dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 11 aces and 42.5% break avg.
- Alexander Zverev is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marcos Giron 0–4 Alexander Zverev (4).
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Alexander Zverev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 2.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-15.7 | 19.2-14 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 11 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 81% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 42.5% |
H2H · Marcos Giron 0 – 4 Alexander Zverev (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcos Giron 0–4 Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/25 ATP Halle | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10/24 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/07/24 Wimbledon | 0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 08/02/21 Australian Open | 1-3 | 18-25 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 20/06 | Charles Broom ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniel Evans ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Roberto Bautista-Agut ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 28-19 | W |
| 05/06 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 02/06 | Rafael Jodar French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverev?
Our model gives 78% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.