Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Fery
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Zizou Bergs; the market gives 57% to Zizou Bergs (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Zizou Bergs sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Arthur Fery arrives on a 5-5 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1559 · Arthur Fery 1559
| Zizou Bergs | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zizou Bergs dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Zizou Bergs 1–0 Arthur Fery (1).
- Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Zizou Bergs | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.5-14.3 | 15.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -12.3
Over 39.5: 2% · 1.90
Under 39.5: 98% · 1.80
H2H · Zizou Bergs 1 – 0 Arthur Fery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zizou Bergs 1–0 Arthur Fery
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/20 ITF M15 Bratislava | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zizou Bergs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Ugo Humbert Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 28/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/05 | Tomas Machac French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Arthur Fery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 30/06 | Damir Dzumhur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Alex Bolt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Fery?
Our model gives 54% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.