Prediction: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Alexandra Eala; the market gives 74% to Iga Swiatek (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Alexandra Eala is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Iga Swiatek 7-3 over theirs.
| Alexandra Eala | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Iga Swiatek makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alexandra Eala | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 11.8-7.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 55.2% |
H2H · Alexandra Eala 1 – 1 Iga Swiatek (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Eala 1–1 Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/25 WTA Madrid | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/03/25 WTA Miami | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Maya Joint Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Renata Zarazua Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Rybakina WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shuai Zhang WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Iga Swiatek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Taylor Townsend Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Marta Kostyuk French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Sara Bejlek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Emerson Jones French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Elina Svitolina WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Pegula WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Naomi Osaka WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek?
Our model gives 63% to Iga Swiatek, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.