Tennis · Wimbledon Women · 04/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Ashlyn Krueger; the market gives 53% to Ashlyn Krueger (odds 1.80).
Recent form leaves Daria Snigur with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ashlyn Krueger has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Snigur 1562 · Ashlyn Krueger 1616
| Daria Snigur | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashlyn Krueger (rating 1562 vs 1616).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Daria Snigur | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 13.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.5
Over 22.5: 53% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 47% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Snigur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Elina Svitolina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Sofia Kenin WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Paula Badosa WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Peyton Stearns French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Clara Tauson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Ashlyn Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Knutson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Snigur vs Ashlyn Krueger?
Our model gives 55% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.