Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 03/07, 04:00

Prediction: Shintaro Imai vs Kasidit Samrej

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Shintaro Imai; the market gives 61% to Kasidit Samrej (odds 1.53).

Recent form leaves Shintaro Imai with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Kasidit Samrej has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

56%2
44% 56%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shintaro Imai 1533 · Kasidit Samrej 1534
Shintaro ImaiKasidit Samrej
Our model50%50%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Shintaro Imai 1–0 Kasidit Samrej (1).

Statistics

Shintaro ImaiKasidit Samrej
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)12.2-10.311-8.8
Aces3.87.1
Double faults2.22.8
1st serve %74.6%76.9%
Break %44.2%28.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

H2H · Shintaro Imai 10 Kasidit Samrej (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shintaro Imai 10 Kasidit Samrej

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/06/24
ITF M15 Hong Kong
2-013-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shintaro Imai

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/07 Yuki Mochizuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
18/06 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
09/06 Uisung Park
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
30/05 Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/05 Lachlan Mcfadzean
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
28/05 Fanming Meng
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
27/05 Kai-I Wang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
20/05 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L

Kasidit Samrej

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
01/07 Yu Tanaka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Alberto Lim
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 4-10 L
11/06 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
10/06 Lingxi Zhao
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/05 Anton Shepp
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L
15/05 Alan Magadan
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/05 Kunanan Pantaratorn
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/05 Renaldi Aqila A Salim
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
06/05 Cruz Hewitt
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 4-8 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shintaro Imai vs Kasidit Samrej?

Our model gives 56% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.