Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 03/07, 05:30

Prediction: Maximus Jones vs Kokoro Isomura

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Kokoro Isomura; the market gives 72% to Maximus Jones (odds 1.30).

Over their last 10 matches, Maximus Jones sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Kokoro Isomura arrives on a 5-5 run.

60%1
60% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maximus Jones 1496 · Kokoro Isomura 1539
Maximus JonesKokoro Isomura
Our model44%56%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kokoro Isomura (rating 1496 vs 1539).
  • Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 44.9% break avg.
  • Note: Maximus Jones makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Kokoro Isomura makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Maximus JonesKokoro Isomura
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-12.110.7-10.6
Aces7.22.5
Double faults44.7
1st serve %73.5%67.5%
Break %44.9%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maximus Jones

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-9 W
01/07 Makoto Ochi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 15-10 W
17/06 Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/06 Jangjun Kim
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
19/05 Mukund Sasikumar
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
14/05 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
13/05 Amit Vales
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
11/05 Sidharth Rawat
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
07/05 Akira Santillan
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
05/05 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Kokoro Isomura

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 13-9 W
01/07 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 19-19 W
13/06 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 13-6 W
11/06 Evan Zhu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Duckhee Lee
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/05 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
26/05 Duckhee Lee
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/05 Dominik Palan
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/05 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maximus Jones vs Kokoro Isomura?

Our model gives 60% to Maximus Jones, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.