Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Koki Matsuda
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 73% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Matthew Dellavedova is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Koki Matsuda 6-4 over theirs.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1572 · Koki Matsuda 1544
| Matthew Dellavedova | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Koki Matsuda dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 40.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.5 | 10.9-10 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aoran Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Ko Suzuki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/04 | Cruz Hewitt M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/04 | Alex Knaff M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 65% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.