Tennis · M25 Figueira da Foz · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: John Echeverria vs Sebastian Dominko
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Sebastian Dominko; the market gives 44% to Sebastian Dominko (odds 2.10).
Recent form leaves John Echeverria with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Sebastian Dominko has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Echeverria 1513 · Sebastian Dominko 1600
| John Echeverria | Sebastian Dominko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1513 vs 1600).
- Sebastian Dominko dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| John Echeverria | Sebastian Dominko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10 | 12.2-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 78.9% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Echeverria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Vasco L Prata M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Pablo Hermoso M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Vadym Ursu M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Cyril Vandermeersch M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mert Alkaya M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/02 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Perry Gregg UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/01 | Poonthong Komopisut UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/01 | Noah Becker UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/01 | Luis Llorens Saracho UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/01 | Alexander Antonopoulos UTR Pro South Bend · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ozan Baris ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Sebastian Eriksson ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Echeverria vs Sebastian Dominko?
Our model gives 52% to Sebastian Dominko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.