Prediction: Jordi Garcia Mestre vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Ignacio Parisca Romera; the market gives 75% to Ignacio Parisca Romera (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Jordi Garcia Mestre is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ignacio Parisca Romera 8-2 over theirs.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jordi Garcia Mestre 1509 · Ignacio Parisca Romera 1529
| Jordi Garcia Mestre | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ignacio Parisca Romera makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Jordi Garcia Mestre | Ignacio Parisca Romera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10 | 10-7.6 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jordi Garcia Mestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Stepan Baum M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Jon Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Luca Staeheli M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Matic Hribar M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Tilen Kovac M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Oscar Pinto Sansano M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
Ignacio Parisca Romera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Peru Bayo M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Victor Braga Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Yannik Alvarez Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Darian King Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jordi Garcia Mestre vs Ignacio Parisca Romera?
Our model gives 65% to Ignacio Parisca Romera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.